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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.25vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.67vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+0.75vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.88-0.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.37-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0536.1%1st Place
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3.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9713.3%1st Place
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3.75Old Dominion University0.9512.1%1st Place
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3.86George Washington University0.8811.8%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy0.377.5%1st Place
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3.06University of Pennsylvania1.4519.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 36.1% | 26.9% | 19.4% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 13.3% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 20.8% | 18.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 20.6% | 20.9% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 35.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 19.1% | 22.2% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.