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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+2.69vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.12+2.55vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.60+0.82vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-0.73vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95-0.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.64-2.45vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.27-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6616.4%1st Place
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4.55Georgetown University1.1210.9%1st Place
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3.82University of Pennsylvania1.6014.5%1st Place
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3.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8120.8%1st Place
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4.95Old Dominion University0.957.3%1st Place
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3.55U. S. Naval Academy1.6417.2%1st Place
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4.16George Washington University1.2712.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 16.4% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 22.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 9.2% |
| Richard Gleason | 20.8% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| John Glenn | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 32.5% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 17.2% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 6.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.