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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.72+2.45vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.59+0.35vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.08-0.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.81-0.62vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19-0.33vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.71-0.22vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.15-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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2.35Connecticut College2.590.3%1st Place
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2.99Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.38Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.78Middlebury College-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.13Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Kanare | 14.8% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 34.5% | 25.5% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 21.3% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 16.2% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 19.9% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| George Williams | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 32.0% | 23.1% | 9.7% |
| Mark Sinks | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 13.5% | 36.0% | 36.9% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 10.3% | 28.9% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.