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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.60+2.75vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+1.73vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+1.94vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.12+0.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64-1.40vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.81-2.69vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.27-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75University of Pennsylvania1.6014.8%1st Place
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3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6616.1%1st Place
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4.94Old Dominion University0.958.6%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University1.1210.5%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy1.6417.2%1st Place
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3.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.8120.4%1st Place
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4.15George Washington University1.2712.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 14.8% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
| Keiran James Golden | 16.1% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 9.0% |
| John Glenn | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 31.8% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 22.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 17.2% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 7.8% |
| Richard Gleason | 20.4% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.