← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.81+2.34vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.08+1.02vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.59-0.71vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.72-0.49vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-0.75vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.71+0.73vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut0.19-1.27vs Predicted
-
8Wesleyan University-1.15-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.34Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
-
3.02Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
-
2.29Connecticut College2.590.4%1st Place
-
3.51University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
-
4.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
-
6.73Middlebury College-0.710.0%1st Place
-
5.73University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
7.13Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bailey | 16.4% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 20.2% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 35.8% | 26.9% | 19.0% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 23.2% | 19.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Mark Sinks | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 17.1% | 34.0% | 35.2% |
| George Williams | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 32.0% | 24.8% | 11.0% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 29.9% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.