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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.59+1.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.81+1.40vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.08-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.72-0.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-0.72vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.71+0.73vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.15+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.19-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Connecticut College2.590.4%1st Place
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3.4Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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2.99Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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4.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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6.73Middlebury College-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.16Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis Tonissi | 37.7% | 26.2% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Bailey | 15.2% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 20.8% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mike Kanare | 14.1% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Robert Queisser | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 23.1% | 19.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Mark Sinks | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 14.0% | 38.2% | 33.5% |
| Lauren Javaly | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 25.8% | 56.2% |
| George Williams | 2.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 33.7% | 24.0% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.