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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.76+1.76vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.77+0.64vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.450.00vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.36+0.36vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.34+0.91vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.84-0.97vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.90-1.74vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.32-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Northwestern University0.7626.0%1st Place
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2.64Northwestern University0.7729.1%1st Place
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3.0Northwestern University0.4520.5%1st Place
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4.36Northwestern University-0.368.2%1st Place
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5.91Northwestern University-1.343.6%1st Place
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5.03Northwestern University-0.846.7%1st Place
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5.26Northwestern University-0.904.3%1st Place
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7.05Northwestern University-2.321.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davies | 26.0% | 23.2% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 29.1% | 23.3% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Moore | 20.5% | 23.4% | 20.7% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Cooper Soderlund | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 2.6% |
| Jared Silver | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 29.0% | 19.2% |
| Jordan Zax | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 8.1% |
| Jenna Spray | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 8.6% |
| Isaac Miller | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.