Race 1 - south-spring-qualifier | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%

Within 2 Positions

4.6

Avg Position Diff

12

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

+0.60

vs Predicted
2

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

-0.10

vs Predicted
3

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

-1.40

vs Predicted
4

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

-1.51

vs Predicted
5

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

-2.51

vs Predicted
6

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

-3.51

vs Predicted
7

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

-5.10

vs Predicted
8

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

-5.51

vs Predicted
9

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

-7.40

vs Predicted
10

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

-7.51

vs Predicted
11

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

-9.10

vs Predicted
12

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

-10.40

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.6

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

0.5%

1st Place
1.9

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

0.4%

1st Place
1.6

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

0.5%

1st Place
2.49

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
2.49

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
2.49

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
1.9

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

0.4%

1st Place
2.49

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
1.6

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

0.5%

1st Place
2.49

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
1.9

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

0.4%

1st Place
1.6

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

0.5%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Ryan Bailey	50.8%	38.2%	11.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ben Buhl	35.2%	39.2%	25.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ryan Bailey	50.8%	38.2%	11.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.0%	22.6%	63.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.0%	22.6%	63.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.0%	22.6%	63.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ben Buhl	35.2%	39.2%	25.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.0%	22.6%	63.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ryan Bailey	50.8%	38.2%	11.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.0%	22.6%	63.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ben Buhl	35.2%	39.2%	25.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ryan Bailey	50.8%	38.2%	11.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.