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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.77+1.62vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.45+1.06vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.76-0.31vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.36+0.44vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.84+0.10vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.90-0.75vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.34-1.21vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.32-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Northwestern University0.7727.2%1st Place
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3.06Northwestern University0.4520.7%1st Place
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2.69Northwestern University0.7627.8%1st Place
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4.44Northwestern University-0.368.0%1st Place
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5.1Northwestern University-0.845.5%1st Place
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5.25Northwestern University-0.905.7%1st Place
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5.79Northwestern University-1.343.6%1st Place
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7.04Northwestern University-2.321.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lillian Nemeth | 27.2% | 26.7% | 19.9% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Mitchell Moore | 20.7% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Will Davies | 27.8% | 23.8% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Cooper Soderlund | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 2.5% |
Jordan Zax | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 8.5% |
Jenna Spray | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 21.8% | 20.3% | 10.1% |
Jared Silver | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 29.1% | 17.1% |
Isaac Miller | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.