Race 3 - south-spring-qualifier | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%

Within 2 Positions

4.6

Avg Position Diff

12

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

+0.64

vs Predicted
2

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

+0.50

vs Predicted
3

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

-0.50

vs Predicted
4

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

-1.50

vs Predicted
5

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

-3.14

vs Predicted
6

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

-4.14

vs Predicted
7

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

-5.36

vs Predicted
8

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

-5.50

vs Predicted
9

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

-6.50

vs Predicted
10

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

-8.36

vs Predicted
11

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

-9.14

vs Predicted
12

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

-10.36

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.64

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

0.5%

1st Place
2.5

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
2.5

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
2.5

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
1.86

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

0.4%

1st Place
1.86

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

0.4%

1st Place
1.64

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

0.5%

1st Place
2.5

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
2.5

Domenic Re & Julianna Lee

Villanova University

1.59

0.1%

1st Place
1.64

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

0.5%

1st Place
1.86

Ben Buhl & Laura Kilgore

Christopher Newport University

2.46

0.4%

1st Place
1.64

Ryan Bailey & Karlyn Long

Washington College

2.84

0.5%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Ryan Bailey	50.0%	35.7%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.8%	20.9%	64.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.8%	20.9%	64.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.8%	20.9%	64.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ben Buhl	35.2%	43.4%	21.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ben Buhl	35.2%	43.4%	21.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ryan Bailey	50.0%	35.7%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.8%	20.9%	64.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Domenic Re	14.8%	20.9%	64.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ryan Bailey	50.0%	35.7%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ben Buhl	35.2%	43.4%	21.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ryan Bailey	50.0%	35.7%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.