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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+9.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.52+4.87vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+2.98vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.49+2.99vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19+3.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+4.58vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07+2.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.39vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+3.18vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.62+0.85vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-2.05vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine2.83+2.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-6.28vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.12vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.92-5.59vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.68-1.21vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.77-2.63vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.11-4.76vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.02-5.57vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin3.19-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.71Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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5.98Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.05Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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10.88SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.41Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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14.79University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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14.37Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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13.43Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 12.5% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Sam Williams | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Porter | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% |
| Michael Russom | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 20.5% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.8% |
| Quentin Chafee | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% |
| Michael Lee | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.