← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.26+0.54vs Predicted
-
2Catholic University of America-0.40+1.13vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami-0.76+0.46vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia-0.58-0.81vs Predicted
-
5Duke University-2.28+0.17vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.54North Carolina State University1.2661.8%1st Place
-
3.13Catholic University of America-0.4012.8%1st Place
-
3.46University of Miami-0.768.3%1st Place
-
3.19University of Virginia-0.5812.0%1st Place
-
5.17Duke University-2.281.8%1st Place
-
4.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.673.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 61.8% | 26.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 12.8% | 23.4% | 24.1% | 22.1% | 13.3% | 4.3% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 8.3% | 18.5% | 23.5% | 24.7% | 18.6% | 6.3% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 12.0% | 20.5% | 26.1% | 23.2% | 14.4% | 3.9% |
| Julia Grimes | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 20.5% | 57.8% |
| Anika Pruim | 3.2% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 32.8% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.