← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.26+0.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami-0.76+1.46vs Predicted
-
3Catholic University of America-0.40+0.15vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia-0.58-0.80vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-0.44vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-2.28-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.52North Carolina State University1.2663.1%1st Place
-
3.46University of Miami-0.768.7%1st Place
-
3.15Catholic University of America-0.4011.6%1st Place
-
3.2University of Virginia-0.5812.0%1st Place
-
4.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.672.9%1st Place
-
5.1Duke University-2.281.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Olivia Sowa | 63.1% | 24.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Julianna Skoglund | 8.7% | 17.8% | 23.5% | 24.8% | 18.7% | 6.5% |
Clare Wagner | 11.6% | 23.8% | 24.6% | 22.2% | 13.6% | 4.1% |
Hannah Mercurio | 12.0% | 20.8% | 24.9% | 24.4% | 13.2% | 4.7% |
Anika Pruim | 2.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 33.1% | 28.8% |
Julia Grimes | 1.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 20.9% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.