← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.26+0.53vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia-0.58+1.24vs Predicted
-
3Catholic University of America-0.40+0.14vs Predicted
-
4Duke University-2.28+1.11vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-0.51vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami-0.76-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.53North Carolina State University1.2661.5%1st Place
-
3.24University of Virginia-0.5810.5%1st Place
-
3.14Catholic University of America-0.4012.0%1st Place
-
5.11Duke University-2.282.2%1st Place
-
4.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.674.6%1st Place
-
3.49University of Miami-0.769.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 61.5% | 27.5% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 10.5% | 21.2% | 26.0% | 22.9% | 14.5% | 4.8% |
| Clare Wagner | 12.0% | 22.6% | 24.8% | 23.5% | 13.9% | 3.3% |
| Julia Grimes | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 21.1% | 55.5% |
| Anika Pruim | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 31.4% | 29.4% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 9.2% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 26.2% | 18.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.