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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+0.53vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.58+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.76+0.44vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.40-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-0.44vs Predicted
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6Duke University-2.28-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53North Carolina State University1.2662.4%1st Place
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3.2University of Virginia-0.5811.6%1st Place
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3.44University of Miami-0.769.2%1st Place
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3.18Catholic University of America-0.4010.8%1st Place
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4.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.673.5%1st Place
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5.1Duke University-2.282.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 62.4% | 25.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 11.6% | 22.2% | 24.5% | 22.7% | 14.8% | 4.2% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 9.2% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 25.2% | 18.9% | 5.8% |
| Clare Wagner | 10.8% | 22.5% | 25.9% | 23.6% | 13.6% | 3.6% |
| Anika Pruim | 3.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 32.6% | 29.5% |
| Julia Grimes | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.