← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.55+2.57vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.45+1.96vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.83+2.52vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.41+1.56vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.94+0.45vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.70-0.98vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami0.02+0.17vs Predicted
-
8Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-1.57vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University-0.27-1.17vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.36vs Predicted
-
11Rollins College0.58-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.57Jacksonville University1.5520.9%1st Place
-
3.96University of South Florida1.4517.2%1st Place
-
5.52University of South Florida0.838.9%1st Place
-
5.56Rollins College0.419.3%1st Place
-
5.45Jacksonville University0.949.1%1st Place
-
5.02Jacksonville University0.7011.7%1st Place
-
7.17University of Miami0.024.8%1st Place
-
6.43Palm Beach Atlantic University0.365.8%1st Place
-
7.83Florida State University-0.273.6%1st Place
-
9.64Embry-Riddle University-1.831.2%1st Place
-
5.84Rollins College0.587.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grayson Tella | 20.9% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Zachariah Schemel | 17.2% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Grace Jones | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
Hilton Kamps | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
Darby Smith | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
Fiona Froelich | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
Harrison Vanderground | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 9.8% |
Dawson Kohl | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 4.2% |
Tia Schoening | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 17.0% |
Timothy Dolan | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 58.7% |
Shay Bridge | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.