← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.26+0.56vs Predicted
-
2Duke University0.48+0.58vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami-0.76+0.41vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia-0.58-0.84vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.56North Carolina State University1.2659.2%1st Place
-
2.58Duke University0.4820.2%1st Place
-
3.41University of Miami-0.767.5%1st Place
-
3.16University of Virginia-0.5810.4%1st Place
-
4.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.672.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 59.2% | 28.9% | 9.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 20.2% | 28.8% | 28.5% | 17.3% | 5.1% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 7.5% | 16.3% | 23.8% | 32.0% | 20.3% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 10.4% | 19.1% | 28.4% | 28.6% | 13.5% |
| Anika Pruim | 2.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 19.8% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.