← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.48+7.55vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University4.19+3.74vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.72vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.49+4.20vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.23+4.25vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.05vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.23+2.31vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.97+2.34vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida3.49-0.82vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University3.11+0.17vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont3.63-3.13vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.11+1.92vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.05-2.99vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.57-6.29vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-0.88vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.77-4.62vs Predicted
-
17University of Minnesota2.53-4.72vs Predicted
-
18Washington College2.71-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.55Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
5.74Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.2Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.25Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
-
5.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.31Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.34Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
8.18University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
10.17Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
7.87University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
13.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.01University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.71Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
-
14.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
-
11.38Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
12.28University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
-
11.31Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Price | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Chris Wilson | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 27.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 27.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.