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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.77+10.45vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.23+7.60vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+7.11vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+3.18vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19-0.39vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57+0.92vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-2.03vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.11+2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.53+0.53vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.13vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.23-4.97vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-4.66vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-1.84vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.71-5.40vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.48-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.45Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.6Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.11Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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6.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.18University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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5.61Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.110.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.34Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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14.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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11.6Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.13Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Chris Wilson | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 22.9% |
| Drake Lundeen | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Price | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 28.7% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.