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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.48+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.58+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.76-0.64vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Duke University0.4818.9%1st Place
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4.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.672.8%1st Place
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3.26University of Virginia-0.589.7%1st Place
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3.36University of Miami-0.768.1%1st Place
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1.53North Carolina State University1.2660.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Cassedy | 18.9% | 31.9% | 28.1% | 17.0% | 4.0% |
| Anika Pruim | 2.8% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 62.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 9.7% | 16.5% | 27.9% | 30.3% | 15.6% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 8.1% | 17.0% | 23.9% | 32.9% | 18.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 60.5% | 28.5% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.