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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+4.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+6.10vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+5.46vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+5.02vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.53+6.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+4.24vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63-0.40vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.11+4.68vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.23-0.39vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-4.36vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-2.27vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.11-3.28vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.71-2.89vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-4.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-9.98vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.48-8.57vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.1Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.46University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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11.24Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.110.0%1st Place
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9.61Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.72Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.11Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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10.41Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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14.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Drake Lundeen | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.5% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Chris Wilson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 22.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Christopher Price | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.