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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.57+7.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+6.51vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+4.86vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.05+5.97vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19+0.65vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.77+5.24vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+1.25vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11+1.78vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23+0.23vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.22vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-2.58vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.97-1.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.13vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.23-4.99vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.53-2.83vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.11-2.21vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-2.73vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.71-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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5.65Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.24Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.25University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.78Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.77Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.01Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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13.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.110.0%1st Place
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14.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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11.28Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Nickbarg | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.4% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Price | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Drake Lundeen | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% |
| Chris Wilson | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 25.2% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 30.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.