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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.78+5.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.49+5.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+5.76vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin4.10+5.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+7.54vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.68+9.27vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07+2.43vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.70+2.66vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.78vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.06-0.84vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.62+0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.62-0.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.99vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.52-6.88vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.77-0.26vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.60-4.75vs Predicted
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17Washington College3.65-6.15vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-8.05vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine2.83-4.47vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College3.02-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.76Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.43Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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9.16Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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14.74Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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11.25SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.85Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.95Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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14.53University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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13.91Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Michael Russom | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 23.4% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sam Williams | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 21.6% |
| Harry Scott | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack Porter | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 17.4% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.