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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+6.42vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.05+5.88vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+2.58vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.96+4.45vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57+0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53+4.01vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-3.53vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.77+1.40vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49-2.63vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.97-1.32vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.18vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.23-5.02vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.71-3.64vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-6.13vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.11-3.27vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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7.89Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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5.47Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.4Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.37University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.68Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.98Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.36Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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13.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.110.0%1st Place
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13.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Drake Lundeen | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Price | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Chris Wilson | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 24.2% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.