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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.84vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+6.66vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+4.93vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+5.76vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.49+3.35vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.71+5.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+4.32vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+0.30vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-3.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+0.43vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.57-2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.53+0.53vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-6.27vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.14vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.96-4.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-1.71vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.11-3.18vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.97-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston College3.480.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.76Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.57Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.3University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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5.6Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.17Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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14.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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13.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.110.0%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Max Nickbarg | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Drake Lundeen | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 29.7% |
| Chris Wilson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 24.1% |
| Christopher Price | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.