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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+9.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+6.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+2.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.79vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.77+6.24vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+2.50vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+3.01vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.35vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.57-0.92vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.53+1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-3.84vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-3.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.06vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-4.82vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.71-4.31vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.11-3.07vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.75Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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5.91Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.24Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.01Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.08Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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12.44University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.3Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.69Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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13.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.110.0%1st Place
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14.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Drake Lundeen | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% |
| Chris Wilson | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 24.9% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.