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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+7.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+6.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+7.45vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.63+3.67vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.96+5.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.85vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.37vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11+1.90vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.97+1.53vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.71vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.71+0.68vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.11+2.02vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.77-1.82vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.53-2.08vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-6.74vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.49-7.56vs Predicted
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17Stanford University4.19-11.18vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.53Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.68Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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14.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.110.0%1st Place
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11.18Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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8.26University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.82Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Price | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Chris Wilson | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 28.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Drake Lundeen | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.