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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+4.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.73vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+4.56vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.84+4.13vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.45+4.66vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.70-1.47vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16-0.20vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-2.46vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-0.64vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+3.23vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.68+1.23vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.69-3.51vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.24-6.59vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.98-6.42vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-8.14vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.75-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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6.72Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Minnesota2.840.0%1st Place
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11.66Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.53Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.54Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.36Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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15.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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14.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.680.0%1st Place
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10.49Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.41University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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9.58Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.34Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Wheeler J | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 6.9% |
| Antoine Screve | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Kyle Brego | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 42.0% |
| Scott Calnan | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 19.9% | 27.9% |
| Domenic Bove | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.