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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+4.79vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.00+8.21vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.85+3.24vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.97+1.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.16+3.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+4.29vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.84+3.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.20+0.82vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.14+0.01vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.03-4.32vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.00-1.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.83-1.87vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.14-6.95vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.79+1.43vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-6.06vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.23-1.96vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.64-6.71vs Predicted
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18Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.68-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Roger Williams University2.0911.5%1st Place
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10.21Connecticut College1.003.5%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University1.859.3%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island1.9712.2%1st Place
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8.88Boston College1.164.9%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont0.843.3%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University1.205.5%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College1.145.1%1st Place
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5.68Yale University2.0311.8%1st Place
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9.59Northeastern University1.004.0%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.833.6%1st Place
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6.05Brown University2.1411.0%1st Place
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15.43Salve Regina University-0.790.8%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College1.514.8%1st Place
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14.04Maine Maritime Academy-0.231.1%1st Place
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10.29Boston University0.643.7%1st Place
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15.54Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.680.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Harrison Strom | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Roe | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Courtland Doyle | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Turner Ryon | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Carly Kieding | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 23.5% | 35.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 20.4% | 15.9% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Henry Donahue | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 20.8% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.