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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.62+2.50vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.49+1.81vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.13-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.08-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Washington2.14-4.23vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.03-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.40-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.81-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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2.77University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
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4.49University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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2.77University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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6.03University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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5.55University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Vincent | 15.2% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Nelson | 13.6% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 26.9% | 23.3% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 11.0% | 3.5% |
| Antonio Johnson | 26.8% | 25.0% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Trombatore | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 29.4% | 22.3% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 21.8% | 24.0% | 14.4% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 22.9% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.