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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University4.07+8.07vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+7.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+3.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+8.63vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65+6.09vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+3.29vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+4.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.36vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.78vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.77+4.85vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-0.10vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.19-3.23vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine2.83+1.87vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.52-6.87vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.02-1.26vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.62-4.88vs Predicted
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17Brown University4.49-9.91vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.81vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University3.92-9.28vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont3.62-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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11.09Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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11.6SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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14.85Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.77Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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14.87University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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13.74Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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7.09Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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15.19University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Greenfield | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Sam Williams | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 19.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack Porter | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 18.3% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 21.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.