Race 3A

2024-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grace Jones 8.2% 9.8% 9.4% 12.6% 11.6% 10.7% 10.8% 10.2% 9.4% 5.5% 2.1%
Grayson Tella 21.6% 17.7% 16.2% 13.5% 10.5% 8.0% 6.1% 3.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Shay Bridge 8.6% 7.7% 9.6% 9.7% 10.5% 10.6% 10.0% 11.1% 10.2% 9.0% 3.0%
Fiona Froelich 10.7% 11.6% 10.8% 11.7% 9.3% 11.4% 10.4% 9.8% 8.3% 4.6% 1.3%
Darby Smith 8.9% 9.7% 11.5% 10.9% 10.3% 11.7% 11.4% 9.8% 7.8% 6.3% 1.7%
Zachariah Schemel 17.6% 15.2% 14.9% 13.7% 12.2% 8.9% 7.2% 5.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4%
Dawson Kohl 6.0% 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 8.1% 10.1% 10.8% 13.8% 12.4% 11.1% 5.1%
Hilton Kamps 9.0% 10.5% 9.6% 8.8% 10.8% 11.3% 11.8% 10.0% 9.3% 6.6% 2.2%
Harrison Vanderground 4.2% 4.8% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 8.2% 9.5% 11.7% 15.8% 16.8% 10.8%
Tia Schoening 3.4% 4.2% 3.9% 4.2% 6.7% 6.7% 8.2% 9.8% 13.2% 24.0% 16.0%
Timothy Dolan 1.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 2.5% 3.7% 4.9% 8.4% 14.2% 57.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.