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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.91vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+5.50vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+7.80vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+6.59vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.70+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+3.65vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+3.15vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.24+0.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.22vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.69vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+3.98vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.72-5.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-5.79vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-4.78vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.84-4.89vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.16-7.18vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.68-2.52vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.45-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.5Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.8Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.59Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.61Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.15Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.44University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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14.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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6.87Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Minnesota2.840.0%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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14.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.680.0%1st Place
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11.57Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Will Holz | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Antoine Screve | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 17.6% | 39.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Wheeler J | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Scott Calnan | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 19.3% | 30.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.