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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+0.44vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.57+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.72-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-2.02-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44North Carolina State University1.0967.2%1st Place
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2.78Duke University-0.5713.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Virginia-0.7212.2%1st Place
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3.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.485.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Miami-2.022.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 67.2% | 23.7% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 13.1% | 30.3% | 29.8% | 19.5% | 7.3% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 12.2% | 25.6% | 30.8% | 21.9% | 9.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 5.1% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 34.8% | 28.2% |
| Olivia Campmany | 2.4% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.