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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.72+0.90vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.57-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-2.02+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44North Carolina State University1.0965.8%1st Place
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2.9University of Virginia-0.7212.0%1st Place
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2.77Duke University-0.5713.9%1st Place
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4.2University of Miami-2.022.5%1st Place
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3.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.485.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 65.8% | 25.9% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 12.0% | 26.2% | 30.9% | 22.0% | 8.9% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 13.9% | 27.7% | 32.1% | 20.1% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Campmany | 2.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 22.7% | 55.2% |
| Felicity Davies | 5.7% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 33.8% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.