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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+5.81vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.19vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+6.76vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.16+4.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+4.78vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.84+3.10vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.24+0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95+0.62vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82+0.50vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.38vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45+0.01vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-5.83vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-5.62vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.68-0.67vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-8.59vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.72-10.31vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.78Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Minnesota2.840.0%1st Place
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8.38University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.5Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.62Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.01Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.17Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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14.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.680.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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14.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 8.1% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Wheeler J | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Fernando Monllor | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 8.9% |
| Will Holz | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Scott Calnan | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 27.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.