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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+9.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.22vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+6.75vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+2.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.69vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.69+2.62vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82+0.47vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+0.80vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.16-2.90vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-5.84vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.24-5.81vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.84-4.98vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.72-9.37vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.68-2.49vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.7Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.75Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.56Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.62Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.47Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.8Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Minnesota2.840.0%1st Place
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6.63Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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14.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.680.0%1st Place
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14.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Antoine Screve | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Fernando Monllor | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Wheeler J | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Calnan | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 31.4% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.