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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.77vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.84+8.27vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.24+5.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.39vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.70+1.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+4.68vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.95+1.45vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+5.89vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.98-0.30vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-0.83vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.69vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.34-1.19vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-5.55vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.68-0.77vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-4.35vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-9.62vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.51-10.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Minnesota2.840.0%1st Place
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8.54University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.68Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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14.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.17Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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14.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.680.0%1st Place
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11.65Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.38Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Wheeler J | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Fernando Monllor | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 19.9% | 35.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Scott Calnan | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 27.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
| Will Holz | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.