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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+4.67vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+6.08vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+3.95vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+3.47vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.49+1.49vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+0.99vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.69vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota1.95+4.48vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.19+1.94vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-3.41vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-0.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.22vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.41-7.45vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.45-4.35vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-6.00vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-3.06vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.63-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.08University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.59Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.65Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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13.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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13.55Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.3% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| J. Jacob | 10.2% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% |
| Ryan Grosch | 2.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 8.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Galster | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 25.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.