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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.83+3.54vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.41+2.56vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.02+2.26vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58-0.08vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.55-3.45vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.27-0.21vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-2.63vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.44vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.70-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of South Florida1.4518.2%1st Place
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5.54University of South Florida0.839.2%1st Place
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5.56Rollins College0.418.5%1st Place
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5.41Jacksonville University0.949.2%1st Place
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7.26University of Miami0.024.5%1st Place
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5.92Rollins College0.588.7%1st Place
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3.55Jacksonville University1.5520.9%1st Place
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7.79Florida State University-0.273.2%1st Place
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6.37Palm Beach Atlantic University0.365.7%1st Place
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9.56Embry-Riddle University-1.831.6%1st Place
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5.1Jacksonville University0.7010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 18.2% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Jones | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Darby Smith | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 10.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% |
| Grayson Tella | 20.9% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 15.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 59.2% |
| Fiona Froelich | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.