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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University4.07+8.05vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.52+5.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+3.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.49+3.23vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.06+4.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.62+4.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.70+2.62vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.02+4.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+2.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine2.83+3.64vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.19-3.20vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.92-2.83vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.14vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.82vs Predicted
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16Washington College3.65-4.95vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.77-2.21vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin4.10-8.98vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-9.16vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island3.62-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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13.74Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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12.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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14.64University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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8.8Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.17Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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11.18SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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11.05Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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14.79Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Greenfield | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sam Williams | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Wells Bacon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Jack Porter | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Michael Russom | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 23.5% |
| Harry Scott | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 19.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.