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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+6.03vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+6.03vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+4.67vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+2.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.91vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.80-0.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.49-0.44vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97+0.47vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+0.97vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.89vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95+1.70vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-4.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+0.68vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-6.65vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-3.75vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.19-4.27vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.45-6.21vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.63-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.03University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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7.67Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.5Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.47Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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12.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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10.79Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.54Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Hans Henken | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| J. Jacob | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Galster | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 14.4% |
| Ryan Grosch | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Morgan | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 23.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.