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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+2.63vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.73+3.79vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.71+0.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.91vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.32+1.42vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+1.01vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+3.84vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.23-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.02vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.59-4.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.46-5.48vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-2.10+0.05vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.96-1.09vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of Rhode Island1.6121.2%1st Place
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5.79Fairfield University0.739.3%1st Place
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3.53Northeastern University1.7121.6%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.2%1st Place
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6.42Salve Regina University1.325.9%1st Place
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7.36Olin College of Engineering0.224.8%1st Place
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8.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.074.7%1st Place
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11.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.480.7%1st Place
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6.41Northeastern University0.237.4%1st Place
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10.02University of New Hampshire-0.781.7%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University0.596.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Vermont0.467.0%1st Place
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13.05Middlebury College-2.100.3%1st Place
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12.91University of Connecticut-1.960.4%1st Place
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11.64Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 21.2% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 21.6% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Burns | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Norman Walker | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 21.4% | 14.6% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Lera Anders | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Morris | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 23.2% | 37.8% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 23.4% | 31.8% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.