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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.32+5.21vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.71+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+0.73vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.98vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.73+0.86vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.35vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.23-0.49vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.59-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78+1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-2.01vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.46-4.30vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.29vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-2.10+0.06vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.96-1.26vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Salve Regina University1.327.6%1st Place
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3.53Northeastern University1.7121.8%1st Place
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3.73University of Rhode Island1.6119.7%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.2%1st Place
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5.86Fairfield University0.738.7%1st Place
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7.35Olin College of Engineering0.224.5%1st Place
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6.51Northeastern University0.236.6%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University0.595.9%1st Place
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10.13University of New Hampshire-0.781.8%1st Place
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7.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.074.2%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont0.467.2%1st Place
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11.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.1%1st Place
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13.06Middlebury College-2.100.5%1st Place
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12.74University of Connecticut-1.960.4%1st Place
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11.61Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 21.8% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 19.7% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Anne Berg | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Timothy Burns | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Charles Morris | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Norman Walker | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 15.0% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 21.4% | 38.9% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 23.7% | 29.7% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.