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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.32+5.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.71+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+0.70vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.73+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.46+1.81vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.59+0.97vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+4.79vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.02vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.22-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-2.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.23-4.68vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.92vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.45vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.96-1.24vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-2.10-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Salve Regina University1.327.8%1st Place
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3.54Northeastern University1.7120.9%1st Place
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3.7University of Rhode Island1.6121.1%1st Place
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5.73Fairfield University0.738.2%1st Place
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6.81University of Vermont0.466.0%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University0.596.2%1st Place
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11.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.480.9%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.3%1st Place
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7.56Olin College of Engineering0.224.8%1st Place
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8.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.074.0%1st Place
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6.32Northeastern University0.236.7%1st Place
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10.08University of New Hampshire-0.781.7%1st Place
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11.55Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.2%1st Place
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12.76University of Connecticut-1.960.5%1st Place
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13.01Middlebury College-2.100.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 20.9% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 21.1% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Norman Walker | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 19.9% | 20.3% | 14.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Burns | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 12.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 31.6% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 21.8% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.