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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.32+4.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.61+1.56vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.71+0.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.59+2.75vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.74vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.78+3.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+4.20vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.93vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.73-3.52vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.46-3.53vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.23-4.87vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.94vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-2.10-0.36vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-1.51vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.96-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Salve Regina University1.327.0%1st Place
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3.56University of Rhode Island1.6121.7%1st Place
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3.42Northeastern University1.7122.6%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University0.595.5%1st Place
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5.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.1%1st Place
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9.64University of New Hampshire-0.782.5%1st Place
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11.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.0%1st Place
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7.07Olin College of Engineering0.224.8%1st Place
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5.48Fairfield University0.7310.2%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont0.466.2%1st Place
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6.13Northeastern University0.237.2%1st Place
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11.06Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.2%1st Place
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12.64Middlebury College-2.100.5%1st Place
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12.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.8%1st Place
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12.39University of Connecticut-1.960.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 21.7% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 22.6% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Norman Walker | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% |
| James Jagielski | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 8.2% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 28.7% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 26.9% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.