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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.22+6.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.59+4.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.46+3.35vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.23+2.17vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.65vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+5.30vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.61-3.40vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.32-2.03vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71-5.62vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.43vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.73-5.38vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.91vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-2.10-0.38vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.96-1.62vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Olin College of Engineering0.225.3%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University0.595.8%1st Place
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6.35University of Vermont0.466.6%1st Place
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6.17Northeastern University0.237.0%1st Place
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5.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.1%1st Place
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11.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.480.9%1st Place
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3.6University of Rhode Island1.6120.6%1st Place
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5.97Salve Regina University1.328.3%1st Place
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3.38Northeastern University1.7122.7%1st Place
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9.57University of New Hampshire-0.782.3%1st Place
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5.62Fairfield University0.739.6%1st Place
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11.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.1%1st Place
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12.62Middlebury College-2.100.3%1st Place
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12.38University of Connecticut-1.960.8%1st Place
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12.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jagielski | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lera Anders | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Norman Walker | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 10.5% |
| Miles Williams | 20.6% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 22.7% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 28.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 24.3% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.