← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.32+5.04vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.71+1.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.46+3.23vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.72vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University0.23+1.17vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.59+0.65vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.61-3.44vs Predicted
-
8Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.96vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University0.73-3.44vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.44vs Predicted
-
11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.03vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-0.47vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-2.10-1.41vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut-1.96-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.04Salve Regina University1.327.4%1st Place
-
3.45Northeastern University1.7121.1%1st Place
-
6.23University of Vermont0.467.2%1st Place
-
5.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.8%1st Place
-
6.17Northeastern University0.238.8%1st Place
-
6.65Tufts University0.595.7%1st Place
-
3.56University of Rhode Island1.6120.8%1st Place
-
7.04Olin College of Engineering0.224.9%1st Place
-
5.56Fairfield University0.738.8%1st Place
-
9.56University of New Hampshire-0.782.6%1st Place
-
11.03Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.1%1st Place
-
11.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.480.7%1st Place
-
12.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.9%1st Place
-
12.59Middlebury College-2.100.6%1st Place
-
12.4University of Connecticut-1.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 21.1% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 20.8% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 7.4% |
| Norman Walker | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 11.1% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 27.0% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 28.9% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.