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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.71+2.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.46+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.78+4.91vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.73-0.21vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.32-0.64vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.23-1.72vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.37-0.09vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.69-4.09vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-3.08vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.53vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.19vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.96-1.27vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-2.10-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Northeastern University1.7121.9%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island1.6119.4%1st Place
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6.54University of Vermont0.467.5%1st Place
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9.91University of New Hampshire-0.781.9%1st Place
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5.79Fairfield University0.738.2%1st Place
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6.36Salve Regina University1.327.2%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University0.237.5%1st Place
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8.91Olin College of Engineering-0.373.1%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University0.698.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.074.2%1st Place
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11.47Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.2%1st Place
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11.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.480.6%1st Place
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12.73University of Connecticut-1.960.5%1st Place
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13.11Middlebury College-2.100.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 21.9% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 19.4% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 12.7% |
| Norman Walker | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 15.6% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 30.5% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.