← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+8.79vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.43+4.46vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.44+3.51vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+5.48vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University3.25+2.01vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.97+2.11vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.29+3.89vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.96+4.10vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.19+2.25vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida3.15-2.36vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+2.63vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College3.21-4.52vs Predicted
-
13Yale University2.45-2.86vs Predicted
-
14University of Minnesota1.95-2.05vs Predicted
-
15Brown University3.38-8.53vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont3.41-9.59vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.53vs Predicted
-
18Washington College1.63-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
6.46Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
6.51Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
-
7.01Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.11Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.89Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
12.1Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
-
11.25University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
7.64University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
-
13.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
-
7.48Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.14Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
-
11.95University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
-
6.47Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
6.41University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
12.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
13.23Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Axel Sly | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 24.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Grosch | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.