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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.32+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.61+1.73vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.71+0.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+1.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.46+0.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+4.71vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.73-2.27vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.37+0.11vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.23-3.62vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-3.05vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.94vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.62vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.96-1.23vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-2.10-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Salve Regina University1.327.5%1st Place
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3.73University of Rhode Island1.6119.1%1st Place
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3.52Northeastern University1.7122.1%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University0.699.0%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.3%1st Place
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6.66University of Vermont0.465.9%1st Place
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11.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.480.9%1st Place
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5.73Fairfield University0.7310.2%1st Place
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9.11Olin College of Engineering-0.372.7%1st Place
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6.38Northeastern University0.236.8%1st Place
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7.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.073.6%1st Place
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10.06University of New Hampshire-0.781.8%1st Place
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11.38Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Connecticut-1.960.4%1st Place
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13.02Middlebury College-2.100.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 19.1% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 22.1% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Norman Walker | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 15.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Anne Berg | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 10.8% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 24.5% | 30.8% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.