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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.46+5.60vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.73+3.79vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.32+3.38vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.78+5.01vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.23+0.30vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71-3.59vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.61-4.26vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.37+0.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.10vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.96+1.72vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-3.94vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.62vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-2.10-0.97vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6University of Vermont0.467.0%1st Place
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5.79Fairfield University0.739.7%1st Place
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6.38Salve Regina University1.326.0%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University0.698.0%1st Place
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10.01University of New Hampshire-0.782.2%1st Place
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6.3Northeastern University0.237.0%1st Place
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3.41Northeastern University1.7122.9%1st Place
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3.74University of Rhode Island1.6120.3%1st Place
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9.04Olin College of Engineering-0.372.8%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.727.3%1st Place
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12.72University of Connecticut-1.960.4%1st Place
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8.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.073.6%1st Place
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11.38Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.2%1st Place
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13.03Middlebury College-2.100.4%1st Place
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11.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Morris | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 22.9% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 20.3% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 32.2% |
| Timothy Burns | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 11.2% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 23.2% | 37.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.