Race 5A

2024-florida

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Shay Bridge 9.2% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 10.2% 11.4% 10.9% 11.4% 10.4% 7.0% 3.3%
Zachariah Schemel 17.1% 15.3% 15.2% 14.4% 11.3% 9.9% 6.8% 5.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Hilton Kamps 10.1% 9.3% 9.8% 9.9% 10.8% 11.9% 10.2% 10.3% 9.6% 6.0% 2.1%
Grace Jones 8.8% 9.1% 9.2% 10.8% 10.2% 10.4% 10.8% 11.9% 9.4% 7.2% 2.2%
Harrison Vanderground 4.5% 4.6% 5.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 9.5% 10.9% 15.5% 17.8% 10.3%
Darby Smith 8.8% 11.1% 9.9% 10.8% 11.3% 9.3% 11.5% 9.8% 9.3% 6.2% 1.8%
Grayson Tella 20.7% 19.1% 15.9% 11.9% 10.3% 9.2% 5.6% 4.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Dawson Kohl 6.5% 7.0% 7.6% 7.3% 9.0% 9.8% 11.7% 11.5% 12.9% 11.8% 5.1%
Tia Schoening 3.5% 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 5.7% 6.2% 8.4% 9.9% 14.2% 23.9% 15.8%
Timothy Dolan 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 2.9% 3.8% 5.1% 7.5% 14.2% 58.0%
Fiona Froelich 9.4% 10.9% 12.3% 12.6% 12.0% 11.3% 11.0% 9.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.