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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.31+8.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.95+11.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+4.79vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+3.80vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.58+2.01vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.29+6.42vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.40vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.47+3.56vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.00+0.43vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-2.91vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.67-0.40vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-6.61vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.89-7.41vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.56-7.00vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.36-7.15vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-8.97vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.87-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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15.39University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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9.8Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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14.42Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.56Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.43SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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12.6Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.59Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.85Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leif Evensen | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| John Stokes | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christina Johns | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 35.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 22.6% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
| Ted Green | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Max Rollins | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Colin Smith | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.