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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+4.70vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.61+1.52vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.71+0.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.56vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.73+0.56vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.32+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.46-0.73vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.78+1.52vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.37-0.51vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.23-3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.96+1.35vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-0.72vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-2.00vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-1.48vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-2.10-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Tufts University0.697.9%1st Place
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3.52University of Rhode Island1.6119.9%1st Place
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3.36Northeastern University1.7123.5%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.8%1st Place
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5.56Fairfield University0.738.5%1st Place
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6.02Salve Regina University1.327.5%1st Place
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6.27University of Vermont0.467.5%1st Place
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9.52University of New Hampshire-0.781.9%1st Place
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8.49Olin College of Engineering-0.373.4%1st Place
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6.1Northeastern University0.236.9%1st Place
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12.35University of Connecticut-1.960.7%1st Place
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11.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.480.9%1st Place
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11.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.4%1st Place
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12.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.4%1st Place
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12.74Middlebury College-2.100.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 19.9% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 23.5% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 24.4% |
| Norman Walker | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 8.1% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 25.1% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.