Race 3A

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
George Kutschenreuter 5.8% 6.2% 7.1% 8.6% 6.2% 7.9% 7.4% 7.0% 7.9% 8.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.9% 5.7%
Nick Valente 4.7% 5.7% 5.5% 5.0% 5.8% 5.6% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 8.2% 9.9% 9.6% 10.8% 9.6%
Fletcher Sims 12.9% 12.2% 10.1% 9.9% 9.2% 7.5% 8.2% 9.1% 6.5% 4.6% 4.3% 3.5% 1.2% 0.8%
Nevin Snow 15.4% 15.9% 13.4% 11.7% 9.3% 9.8% 7.0% 5.1% 4.4% 3.8% 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Jake Reynolds 5.8% 8.3% 8.3% 9.6% 8.2% 9.1% 7.7% 6.1% 9.0% 5.5% 8.2% 6.6% 4.8% 2.8%
Esteban Forrer 10.3% 7.6% 10.5% 8.3% 9.9% 8.8% 8.1% 8.1% 7.4% 4.9% 5.9% 4.1% 4.0% 2.1%
Michael Grove 9.9% 8.6% 9.1% 7.4% 8.8% 9.1% 9.4% 6.4% 7.7% 6.4% 5.5% 5.3% 4.1% 2.3%
Cameron Fraser 4.5% 5.0% 4.6% 5.2% 4.7% 6.2% 5.8% 6.0% 7.0% 8.8% 8.1% 9.5% 9.5% 15.1%
Tony Collins 4.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.3% 4.3% 4.1% 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 9.1% 8.9% 9.9% 12.5% 16.7%
Scott Barbano 6.7% 6.0% 5.8% 7.0% 9.1% 7.1% 9.4% 7.1% 7.3% 8.1% 8.6% 6.8% 7.2% 3.8%
Dominique Wright 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 3.5% 5.6% 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 7.2% 8.4% 8.4% 9.3% 12.9% 16.3%
Michael Croteau 6.7% 6.6% 7.3% 8.5% 7.6% 8.3% 7.8% 8.9% 7.0% 7.6% 6.1% 7.0% 7.0% 3.6%
Alex Ramos 4.2% 4.5% 4.5% 4.8% 4.9% 4.9% 5.4% 8.7% 7.7% 7.7% 8.1% 10.4% 9.7% 14.5%
Eddie Cox 5.0% 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 6.4% 6.1% 7.0% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 9.2% 9.5% 7.7% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.