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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+2.55vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.71+1.35vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.73+2.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+1.73vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.32+0.99vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.46-0.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.23-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.47vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.96+2.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+0.32vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.37-3.38vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-0.44vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-3.01vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-2.10-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Rhode Island1.6120.9%1st Place
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3.35Northeastern University1.7123.3%1st Place
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5.49Fairfield University0.738.5%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University0.698.8%1st Place
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5.99Salve Regina University1.328.3%1st Place
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5.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Vermont0.465.8%1st Place
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5.95Northeastern University0.237.8%1st Place
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9.47University of New Hampshire-0.782.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Connecticut-1.960.4%1st Place
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11.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.480.7%1st Place
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8.62Olin College of Engineering-0.372.9%1st Place
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12.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.6%1st Place
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10.99Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.0%1st Place
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12.66Middlebury College-2.100.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 20.9% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 23.3% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 23.1% |
| Norman Walker | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 10.4% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 26.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 6.7% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.