Race 4A

truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
George Kutschenreuter 5.7% 6.3% 7.3% 7.8% 7.5% 6.0% 7.9% 7.7% 8.3% 7.2% 7.8% 7.7% 6.8% 6.0%
Nick Valente 3.8% 6.8% 4.6% 5.3% 6.3% 6.3% 5.9% 6.5% 6.5% 8.9% 8.0% 12.0% 9.8% 9.3%
Esteban Forrer 10.2% 9.8% 9.9% 8.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 7.1% 6.8% 7.2% 6.0% 4.0% 2.9% 1.8%
Alex Ramos 3.7% 3.6% 4.2% 5.6% 4.9% 7.0% 4.4% 6.8% 6.9% 7.5% 8.9% 10.7% 11.8% 14.0%
Nevin Snow 14.9% 16.5% 11.7% 12.6% 9.3% 8.0% 7.5% 6.6% 5.1% 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Dominique Wright 4.3% 4.0% 3.4% 3.7% 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 7.9% 7.9% 9.7% 8.6% 13.3% 16.4%
Jake Reynolds 9.4% 8.7% 8.8% 8.3% 9.2% 8.5% 8.0% 6.0% 7.6% 7.3% 6.3% 5.6% 4.0% 2.3%
Eddie Cox 6.0% 5.8% 6.0% 5.8% 7.2% 5.8% 6.0% 7.3% 8.7% 6.6% 9.8% 8.4% 8.1% 8.5%
Fletcher Sims 12.1% 9.6% 11.4% 10.9% 8.4% 11.4% 8.1% 7.0% 6.1% 5.0% 3.8% 3.1% 2.4% 0.7%
Cameron Fraser 4.4% 3.7% 3.3% 4.2% 6.1% 6.2% 6.9% 6.7% 6.4% 8.2% 8.5% 11.1% 11.2% 13.1%
Scott Barbano 7.4% 5.9% 6.7% 6.8% 7.4% 7.9% 8.3% 7.5% 8.3% 7.6% 7.0% 7.6% 6.2% 5.4%
Michael Grove 7.0% 7.8% 10.5% 8.1% 9.0% 8.2% 8.7% 8.3% 6.3% 6.6% 6.2% 4.1% 5.5% 3.7%
Tony Collins 4.0% 4.2% 3.4% 5.3% 4.5% 4.3% 5.4% 7.3% 7.7% 8.0% 9.2% 9.4% 11.4% 15.9%
Michael Croteau 7.1% 7.3% 8.8% 7.3% 7.5% 6.7% 8.4% 9.3% 7.4% 8.5% 6.6% 7.0% 5.4% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.