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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+4.60vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.71+1.37vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.32+3.02vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.73+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61-1.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.78+2.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.23-1.87vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.37-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.46-3.67vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04+0.48vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-1.96-1.70vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-2.10-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Tufts University0.698.8%1st Place
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3.37Northeastern University1.7123.2%1st Place
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6.02Salve Regina University1.327.8%1st Place
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5.56Fairfield University0.738.8%1st Place
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3.58University of Rhode Island1.6119.8%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.0%1st Place
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9.45University of New Hampshire-0.782.4%1st Place
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6.13Northeastern University0.237.0%1st Place
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8.66Olin College of Engineering-0.372.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Vermont0.466.5%1st Place
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10.97Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.7%1st Place
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12.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.7%1st Place
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11.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.480.8%1st Place
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12.3University of Connecticut-1.960.8%1st Place
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12.55Middlebury College-2.100.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 23.2% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 19.8% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Charles Morris | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 9.4% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 28.5% |
| Norman Walker | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 9.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 21.3% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 20.9% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.