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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.83+3.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.51+4.06vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.39+0.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.53vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.80-2.83vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.24-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+0.82vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.23+0.53vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+0.40vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.05-3.95vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-3.56vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Salve Regina University0.8311.3%1st Place
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6.06Tufts University0.517.0%1st Place
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3.81Northeastern University1.3918.6%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.034.1%1st Place
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4.66Northeastern University1.0712.2%1st Place
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3.17University of Rhode Island1.8025.0%1st Place
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6.33Fairfield University0.426.2%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont0.246.6%1st Place
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9.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.6%1st Place
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10.53University of New Hampshire-1.230.8%1st Place
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11.4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.8%1st Place
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8.05Olin College of Engineering-0.053.7%1st Place
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9.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.8%1st Place
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12.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 18.6% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 25.0% | 22.0% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Cady | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 5.7% |
| Will Rudaz | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 11.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 26.6% | 22.9% |
| Colin Snow | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Kate Myler | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 4.6% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.