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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+4.51vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+5.30vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.89+4.36vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.97+3.14vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.05+1.49vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-0.69vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52-1.73vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.82-3.75vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-2.03vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.36-4.25vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.43vs Predicted
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143.24-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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5.54St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.3University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.36Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.25Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.97Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.993.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 15.2% |
| Tony Collins | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 15.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.0% |
| Nick Valente | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| Michael Grove | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.