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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.83+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.24+3.60vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.07+0.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.51+1.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.39-2.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+1.80vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42-2.65vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.23+0.54vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.05-3.03vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-2.37vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-1.56vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Salve Regina University0.8310.9%1st Place
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3.1University of Rhode Island1.8026.7%1st Place
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6.6University of Vermont0.246.4%1st Place
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4.67Northeastern University1.0711.5%1st Place
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6.06Tufts University0.517.0%1st Place
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3.83Northeastern University1.3918.6%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.6%1st Place
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9.8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.7%1st Place
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6.35Fairfield University0.425.9%1st Place
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10.54University of New Hampshire-1.231.4%1st Place
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7.97Olin College of Engineering-0.053.4%1st Place
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9.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.7%1st Place
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11.44Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.7%1st Place
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12.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 26.7% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cady | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Everett Nash | 18.6% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 6.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 10.8% |
| Colin Snow | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Kate Myler | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 27.4% | 22.7% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.