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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+6.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+1.50vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+4.95vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.65+1.90vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+1.33vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82-1.08vs Predicted
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83.24+0.08vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+0.34vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.89-0.56vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.39vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.21vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.97-4.05vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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8.95Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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5.92Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.083.240.1%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.44Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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5.61St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.79SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Michael Grove | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 14.1% |
| Tony Collins | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Nick Valente | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.