← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.39+2.79vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.80+1.11vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.07+1.43vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.24+2.81vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.830.00vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.51+0.08vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-1.23+3.58vs Predicted
-
8Fairfield University0.42-1.72vs Predicted
-
9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+0.91vs Predicted
-
10Olin College of Engineering-0.05-1.87vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.47vs Predicted
-
12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-0.59vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-3.60vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.79Northeastern University1.3917.2%1st Place
-
3.11University of Rhode Island1.8026.1%1st Place
-
4.43Northeastern University1.0714.3%1st Place
-
6.81University of Vermont0.244.4%1st Place
-
5.0Salve Regina University0.8311.1%1st Place
-
6.08Tufts University0.516.6%1st Place
-
10.58University of New Hampshire-1.231.0%1st Place
-
6.28Fairfield University0.426.8%1st Place
-
9.91University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.8%1st Place
-
8.13Olin College of Engineering-0.053.4%1st Place
-
7.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.6%1st Place
-
11.41Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.581.0%1st Place
-
9.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.1%1st Place
-
12.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 17.2% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 26.1% | 21.9% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cady | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 11.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 10.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 7.2% |
| Colin Snow | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 25.9% | 23.0% |
| Kate Myler | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 4.5% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.