← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.00+7.72vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.36+2.34vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin3.36+4.70vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.70vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.65+1.83vs Predicted
-
63.24+2.19vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.47-0.01vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.69+1.81vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan2.97+0.05vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-4.44vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.82-4.77vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.27vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College3.52-5.91vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida2.90-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.72Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
-
4.34Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
7.7University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
-
6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
6.83College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.193.240.1%1st Place
-
6.99Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.81Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
-
9.05University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
6.23Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
8.73SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.09Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
9.06University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 18.2% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Michael Grove | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 21.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Nick Valente | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.